Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000559 0.000636 0.000717 0.000809 0.000911 0.001019 0.001143
2026-01-25 0.000445 0.000552 0.000673 0.000819 0.000991 0.001184 0.001416
2026-02-01 0.000378 0.000498 0.000641 0.000820 0.001038 0.001293 0.001610
2026-02-08 0.000316 0.000440 0.000594 0.000795 0.001048 0.001352 0.001743
2026-02-15 0.000269 0.000395 0.000556 0.000775 0.001058 0.001408 0.001868
2026-02-22 0.000237 0.000365 0.000534 0.000770 0.001084 0.001482 0.002015
2026-03-01 0.000212 0.000340 0.000516 0.000769 0.001113 0.001557 0.002164
2026-03-08 0.000187 0.000314 0.000494 0.000759 0.001128 0.001614 0.002289
2026-03-15 0.000165 0.000290 0.000471 0.000746 0.001137 0.001661 0.002402
2026-03-22 0.000155 0.000282 0.000472 0.000765 0.001191 0.001770 0.002599
2026-03-29 0.000144 0.000272 0.000468 0.000776 0.001232 0.001862 0.002775
2026-04-05 0.000130 0.000254 0.000451 0.000769 0.001246 0.001915 0.002898
2026-04-12 0.000116 0.000238 0.000435 0.000760 0.001258 0.001968 0.003023
2026-04-19 0.000107 0.000228 0.000429 0.000767 0.001294 0.002054 0.003198
2026-04-26 0.000098 0.000217 0.000420 0.000769 0.001320 0.002127 0.003353
2026-05-03 0.000086 0.000198 0.000397 0.000745 0.001306 0.002140 0.003423
2026-05-10 0.000076 0.000183 0.000377 0.000725 0.001298 0.002161 0.003505
2026-05-17 0.000069 0.000173 0.000366 0.000721 0.001313 0.002216 0.003637
2026-05-24 0.000063 0.000164 0.000358 0.000720 0.001333 0.002277 0.003780
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000154 0.000346 0.000710 0.001338 0.002317 0.003890
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000144 0.000332 0.000698 0.001338 0.002349 0.003988
2026-06-14 0.000049 0.000142 0.000336 0.000717 0.001390 0.002463 0.004214
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000139 0.000335 0.000727 0.001428 0.002555 0.004409